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2018 Andalusian regional election

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Susana Díaz PSOE–A

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60-615: Juanma Moreno PP The 2018 Andalusian regional election was held on Sunday, 2 December 2018, to elect the 11th Parliament of the autonomous community of Andalusia . All 109 seats in the Parliament were up for election. As a result of the previous election , the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A) was able to retain power after obtaining confidence and supply support from Citizens (Cs), with such alliance enduring President Susana Díaz 's defeat in

120-435: A coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates. Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested

180-464: A collection of municipalities . The current provinces of Spain correspond by and large to the provinces created under the purview of the 1833 territorial re-organization of Spain , with a similar predecessor from 1822 (during the Trienio Liberal ) and an earlier precedent in the 1810 Napoleonic division of Spain into 84 prefectures. There are many other groupings of municipalities that comprise

240-719: A degree in Protocol and Organization of Events from the Camilo José Cela University, as well as several of his own degrees (Higher University Degree in Protocol and Institutional Relations from the Camilo José Cela University, Master's Degree in Business Management and Administration from the Escuela Autónoma de Dirección de Empresas and the Leadership Program for Public Management from IESE Business School) and

300-477: A democracy, obtaining 33 seats. Despite the PP scoring one of its worst historical results in this autonomy, it was able to reach a government agreement with the liberal Ciudadanos (Cs), which had obtained 21 seats, and secured the support of Vox , the young far-right party that obtained 12 seats. This way, Moreno was elected president with the support of 59 of the 109 members in the Parliament of Andalusia. He thus became

360-404: A document was not negotiable and that it would constitute the basis for any prospective agreement with Vox, whereas PP's Pablo Casado showed a willingness to make some concessions to Vox in exchange for support and agreed to bring the far-right party into the negotiations. On 8 January 2019, Vox published a list of 19 demands in exchange for supporting a centre-right government, including cuts in

420-454: A government of their own with PP and PSOE support "without ruling out any other options". Still incumbent President Susana Díaz urged for an alliance of democratic forces to form around her party in order to "build a firewall against the extreme right", but her chances of retaining power were regarded as slim. The PSOE leadership—headed by Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez , Díaz's long-time party rival—was not expected to support Díaz's continuity at

480-510: A new Andalusian government. Within a few days from the election, both PP and Cs candidates, Juanma Moreno and Juan Marín clashed on the issue of who should lead the Regional Government. The PP warned Marín that failing to support Moreno would mean a new regional election, anticipating that it would lead to a massive mobilization of PSOE–A voters who had abstained. The Cs leadership showed a willingness to enter negotiations with PP if it

540-607: A prize (Golden master's degree from the Royal Forum for Senior Management). In September 2006, he married Granada-based political scientist Manuela Villena. In the 2018 Andalusian elections , the People's Party list led by Moreno obtained a representation of 26 seats in the parliament, finishing second behind the Spanish Socialist Party ( PSOE ), which had been the only party in the government of Andalusia since Spain became

600-477: A prospective centre-right coalition government between the two parties, which would depend on Vox's external support. Cs ultimately agreed to support Moreno as regional president in exchange for 50% of the regional ministries and the leadership of the Parliament of Andalusia, which on 27 December resulted in Cs's Marta Bosquet becoming only the second non-PSOE speaker of the Parliament of Andalusia. While Vox supported Bosquet,

660-503: A regional parliament in Spain for the first time since the country's transition to democracy , benefiting from a collapse in the People's Party (PP) vote which saw it nearly tied in votes with Cs. For the first time in the electoral history of Andalusia, right-of-centre parties commanded an absolute majority of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia, allowing a non-Socialist government to take power in

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720-561: A system known as "begged" or expat vote ( Spanish : Voto rogado ). The 109 members of the Parliament of Andalusia were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation , with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Almería , Cádiz , Córdoba , Granada , Huelva , Jaén , Málaga and Seville , with each being allocated an initial minimum of eight seats and

780-430: Is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and

840-469: Is divided between these communities. The importance of the provinces has declined since the adoption of the system of autonomous communities in the period of the Spanish transition to democracy . They nevertheless remain electoral districts for national elections. Provinces are also used as geographical references: for instance in postal addresses and telephone codes. National media will also frequently use

900-517: Is given, together with an indication of the autonomous community to which it belongs and a link to a list of municipalities in the province. The names of the provinces and their capitals are ordered alphabetically according to the form in which they appear in the main Misplaced Pages articles describing them. Unless otherwise indicated, their Spanish-language names are the same; locally valid names in Spain's other co-official languages ( Basque , Catalan , which

960-590: The 2017 PSOE leadership election . The PSOE–Cs agreement broke up in September 2018 after Cs withdrew their support from Díaz's government, prompting Díaz to announce the Parliament's dissolution on 8 October and call a snap election for 2 December 2018. Registered turnout was the second lowest in any Andalusian regional election, only behind that of 1990 . The PSOE–A remained the most voted party but suffered an unforeseen setback, dropping from 47 to 33 seats. A far-right party, Vox , gained parliamentary representation in

1020-505: The Congress of Deputies after the vote of no confidence which ousted Mariano Rajoy from the central government, which would have prompted a high turnout from right-wing voters. Others, on the other hand, attributed it mostly to Susana Díaz 's ruling style in Andalusia: high unemployment and rampant corruption, discontent with her government's management of the education and health services in

1080-564: The Front National (France) , AfD (Germany) or the Sweden Democrats , while paving the way for similar agreements between all three PP, Cs and Vox being reached in other autonomous communities and municipalities following the 2019 local and regional elections . The Parliament of Andalusia was the devolved , unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Andalusia , having legislative power in regional matters as defined by

1140-540: The Province of Canary Islands into the provinces of Las Palmas and Santa Cruz de Tenerife . Historically, the provinces served mainly as transmission belts for policies enacted in Madrid, as Spain was a highly centralised state for most of its modern history. The provinces were the "building-blocks" from which the autonomous communities were created following processed defined in the 1978 Constitution . Consequently, no province

1200-574: The Provincial council , but their existence is controversial . As the province is defined as a "local entity" in the Constitution, the Provincial council belongs to the sphere of local government . The layout of Spain's provinces closely follows the pattern of the territorial division of the country carried out in 1833 . The only major change of provincial borders since that time has been the division of

1260-627: The Spanish Constitution and the Andalusian Statute of Autonomy , as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president . Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage , which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Andalusia and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Andalusians abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote,

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1320-478: The Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)'s growing popularity in opinion polls, hoping to benefit from the disarray within the People's Party (PP) ranks—resulting from its national leadership contest —and Citizens (Cs)'s inability to react after the motion of no confidence which ousted Mariano Rajoy 's government from power. During the summer of 2018, it transpired that Susana Díaz was considering to call an autumn election for 28 October. In early September it

1380-462: The local government of Spain . The boundaries of provinces can only be altered by the Spanish Parliament, giving rise to the common view that the 17 autonomous communities are subdivided into 50 provinces . In reality the system is not hierarchical but defined according to jurisdiction ( Spanish : competencias ). The body charged with government and administration of a province is

1440-454: The 2015 election, it commanded just 50 seats, five short of a majority, bringing the Socialists on the verge of losing the Regional Government after 36 years of uninterrupted rule. On the other hand, Citizens (Cs) and Vox capitalized on the People's Party (PP)'s decay, with Vox winning an outstanding—and unexpected—12 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia, making it the fifth largest party in

1500-510: The Census of Absent-Residents (CERA). As a result of the election, the ruling Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A) suffered a severe setback, plummeting in traditional strongholds where abstention rates skyrocketed and underperforming all opinion polls published throughout the campaign. Together with the left-wing Forward Andalusia (AA) alliance, which failed to garner the combined support of Podemos and United Left (IULV–CA) at

1560-712: The Government of Andalusia . He represented the Cantabria constituency in the Spanish Congress of Deputies from 2000 to 2004 and the Málaga constituency from 2007 to 2011. He has also been a member of the Senate of Spain and Parliament of Andalusia . Born in Barcelona (Catalonia) in 1970 as the second child of two Andalusian immigrants (Juan Moreno & María Bonilla) originating from

1620-455: The PP–Cs and PP–Vox agreements were formally confirmed, Díaz declined to attempt investiture and announced that she would lead the opposition to the new regional government. As a result, the date for Moreno's investiture was set for 15 and 16 January. As a result of the investiture vote, Moreno was elected as new president of Andalusia, being sworn in on 18 January 2019. On 21 January, Moreno unveiled

1680-415: The Parliament on Sunday, 21 April 2019. The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Andalusia and call a snap election , provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot,

1740-430: The Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Throughout the first half of 2018, opinion settled among opposition parties that Díaz would call a snap election by October–November 2018, several months ahead of schedule. On 3 July, ABC hypothesized on the actual chances of an early election taking place, dubbing it as a real possibility after considering that Díaz would seek to capitalize on

1800-806: The UN's Second Administrative Level Boundaries data set project (SALB). Most of the provinces are named after their capital town —with the exceptions of Álava , Asturias , Biscay , Cantabria , Gipuzkoa , the Balearic Islands , La Rioja , and Navarre , and a name reduction in Las Palmas and Castellón — and biggest town —with the exception of Pontevedra ( Vigo ), Asturias ( Gijón ) and Cádiz ( Jerez ). Only two capitals of autonomous communities— Mérida in Extremadura and Santiago de Compostela in Galicia —are not also

1860-712: The V Legislature of the Parliament of Andalusia. He was also elected president of New Generations at the national level and responsible for the party's Autonomous and Local Policy. He was a national deputy in the Congress during the VII (for Cantabria), VIII, IX and X legislatures, acting as deputy spokesman of the Popular Group in the Science and Technology Commission and as secretary in the Social Affairs Commission. He obtained

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1920-619: The age of 25, he was elected Councillor for Youth and Sport of the Málaga city government , with Celia Villalobos as Mayor, as well as President of the Municipal Board of the district of Campanillas and Puerto de la Torre. A year later, he was already President of Nuevas Generaciones de Andalucía. In 1997, at the age of 27, he was elected Member of Parliament for Malaga and spokesman for the Popular Parliamentary Group's Youth during

1980-469: The capitals of provinces. Seven of the autonomous communities comprise no more than one province each: Asturias, the Balearic Islands, Cantabria, La Rioja, Madrid , Murcia , and Navarre. These are sometimes referred to as "uniprovincial" communities. Ceuta , Melilla , and the plazas de soberanía are not part of any province. The table below lists the provinces of Spain. For each, the capital city

2040-542: The centre-right to right-wing electorate was also noted as a remarkable event, as the PP's decades-long, unquestioned dominance over such spectrum came to an end. After results were known, regional and national PP leaders Juanma Moreno and Pablo Casado hinted to an alliance of right-wing forces—including Vox—in order to expel the PSOE from the Regional Government. Concurrently, Cs leaders showed reticence to allying themselves with Vox, instead claiming their right to attempt to form

2100-506: The composition of his new government , formed by 6 PP regional ministers—aside from himself—and 5 Cs members, with Cs leader Juan Marín being appointed as vice president. Juanma Moreno Juan Manuel "Juanma" Moreno Bonilla (born 1 May 1970) is a Spanish politician and president of the Andalusian branch of the People's Party . Since 18 January 2019, he has been the President of

2160-504: The distribution of votes among candidacies. The term of the Parliament of Andalusia expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Regional Government of Andalusia (BOJA), with election day taking place on

2220-417: The election: The key dates are listed below (all times are CET ) instead): The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey

2280-474: The fifty-fourth day from publication barring any date within from 1 July to 31 August. The previous election was held on 22 March 2015, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 22 March 2019. The election decree was required to be published in the BOJA no later than 26 February 2019, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for

2340-446: The first conservative president of Andalusia in Spain's four-decade-long democracy. Due to the rejection by Vox of the 2022 budget, Moreno called for snap elections. In the 2022 autonomous elections , PP got an absolute majority with 58 seats, stopping Vox and defeating PSOE in its former stronghold. Provinces of Spain A province in Spain is a territorial division defined as

2400-464: The helm of the party in Andalusia if she was not able to maintain the Regional Government, while concurrently ruling out giving support to any hypothetical Cs government. Díaz ruled out a resignation as she "had won [the election]", reasserting her will to continue leading the PSOE–A and attempt forming a government with the support of any of the other parties but Vox. Pedro Sánchez's first public reaction to

2460-515: The list of the Partido Popular ( People's Party ), the main conservative party in Spain, being elected city councillor. He also held the position of President of the New Generations of the party and coordinated the party's regional politics alongside Javier Arenas , who, as Moreno would from 2014 onwards, held the presidency of the party's Andalusian branch between 1993 and 1999. In 1995, at

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2520-502: The party announced such a support did not imply they would automatically support a PP–Cs government without them being called into a formal negotiation with the two parties, which Cs refused to concede. Both PP and Cs had been negotiating a formal agreement made of 90 core proposals, some of which—such as their promise to fully apply gender equality laws or the approval of various measures aimed at violence against women -prevention—went against Vox's own electoral manifesto. Cs warned that such

2580-598: The party's demands, which they saw as "unnaceptable" and "unnegotiable". Such demands, but also Casado's attempts to sympathize with Vox's stances, caused a particular outcry within the PP's most moderate ranks—which regarded Vox's positions as outrageous— but Casado's leadership sought to keep on the negotiation with Vox nonetheless and called for the critics to not intervene. This advice went unheeded as an increasing number of PP regional leaders joined in their open criticism of Vox's demands. The Government of France of Emmanuel Macron , European ally of Cs leader Albert Rivera ,

2640-457: The province to disambiguate small towns or communities whose names occur frequently throughout Spain. A small town would normally be identified as being in, say, Valladolid province rather than the autonomous community of Castile and León . In addition, organisations outside Spain use provinces for statistical analysis and policy making and in comparison with other countries including NUTS , OECD , FIPS , CIA World Factbook , ISO 3166-2 and

2700-441: The region (the third in the constituency of Almería , where it far exceeded the most optimistic of expectations). Together, right-of-centre parties commanded 59 out of the 109 seats in parliament. Concurrently, Vox's result signalled the first time a far-right party had won seats in a regional parliament in Spain since the country's return to democracy, following the death of longtime dictator Francisco Franco in 1975. The election

2760-529: The region after 36 years of uninterrupted PSOE rule. Subsequently, PP and Cs formed a coalition government with Vox support, electing Juanma Moreno as its president. This cooperation between the centre-right and the far-right (including a centrist conservative-liberal party which had supported a center-left government in the prior Andalusian parliament) was widely seen as breaking the cordon sanitaire that most mainstream parties in other European countries had maintained up until that time against parties like

2820-418: The region, her role in the ousting of Pedro Sánchez in 2016 , the subsequent PSOE's abstention to allow for Rajoy's investiture and her foiled attempt to become PSOE leader in 2017 were also said to have played a major role in the low PSOE voter turnout, together with a deep disenchantment and fatigue with the PSOE's 36-year spell in the Regional Government of Andalusia. Concurrently, the fragmentation within

2880-434: The regional self-government, a repeal of regional legislation affording special protection to women and LGTBI groups, and the creation of new laws to protect bullfighting, hunting and "popular culture and traditions", as well as the deportation of 52,000 undocumented migrants and the elimination of public subsidies for "supremacist feminism" and for "Islamic associations". Both Cs and leading PP figures were reportedly shocked at

2940-413: The remaining 45 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the number of seats in each province did not exceed two times that of any other). As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Parliament constituency was entitled the following seats: In smaller constituencies, the use of the electoral method resulted in an effective threshold based on the district magnitude and

3000-444: The results was to assert that his government "will continue to promote a regenerative and pro-EU project for Spain. The results in Andalusia reinforce our commitment to defend the Constitution and democracy against fear". On 3 December, the day after the election, thousands gathered throughout the streets of several Andalusian capitals to protest "against fascist policies", after Vox's entry into parliament and its prospective influence in

3060-473: The share they had commanded in the 2004 and 2012 elections, respectively. Together, the two previously dominant parties in Andalusia garnered around 49% of the share and 54% of seats. Analysts and journalists were divided on the causes behind the PSOE's downfall. Some attributed it to discontent with the Sánchez government and his policy of seeking the parliamentary support of pro-Catalan independence parties in

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3120-471: The town of Alhaurín el Grande in the Province of Málaga , Juan Manuel Moreno was only three months old when his family returned to their homeland, where he spent his childhood. Moreno acquired his bachelor's degree in Protocol and Institutional Relations at Camilo José Cela University (UCJC). Moreno started his career in the realm of politics when he ran, as a 24-year-old, in the Malaga municipal elections in

3180-561: The treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 55 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Andalusia .    Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences. The table below lists opinion polling on

3240-451: The victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place. The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place. The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Regional Government of Andalusia . The table below shows registered vote turnout on election day without including voters from

3300-542: Was also notable for the negative electoral performances of PSOE and PP, the worst for both of them in the Spanish democratic period: the PSOE–A lost 400,000 votes, 7.4 points of the share and 14 seats compared to 2015, whereas the PP lost a further 300,000, 6 points and 7 seats over their already dwindling results. Comparisons to previous elections were even bleaker: since 2008 , each party had lost around 1 million votes, 20 points and over 20 seats, with PSOE and PP at barely half of

3360-431: Was commented that the date would be delayed until either 18 or 25 November, After Cs officially withdrew its confidence and supply support from the government on 7 September, leaving the PSOE in minority, 2 or 16 December became the more likely dates for the election to be held. On 8 October, Susana Díaz announced the Parliament's dissolution and confirmed 2 December as the regional election date. The Parliament of Andalusia

3420-479: Was officially dissolved on 9 October 2018, after the publication of the dissolution decree in the Official Gazette of the Regional Government of Andalusia. The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of dissolution. The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry , coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form

3480-431: Was reported to be closely following the government formation process in Andalusia and warned, ahead of the 2019 European Parliament election , that allying with far-right parties could not be a choice. Amid mounting criticism, it was reported throughout the afternoon of 9 January that PP and Cs, on the one hand, and PP and Vox, on the other, had reached separate agreements to elect Juanma Moreno as new regional president. Vox

3540-419: Was reported to have renounced their most controversial demands, specially those on gender equality, in order to reach an agreement. The PSOE–A initially announced that Susana Díaz would run for investiture and called for Cs to join "a democratic bloc" against the far-right, whereas Adelante Andalucía showed a willingness to support any alternative candidate to prevent a Vox-influenced government. However, after

3600-521: Was to elect Marín as president, but the party was weary of having to rely on the support of far-right Vox and instead kept their offer for an—unlikely—support or abstention from the PSOE. The possibility that Vox could have an influence in any future government divided Podemos : the national leadership did not rule out easening a Cs government with PSOE support, whereas regional leader Teresa Rodríguez voiced her explicit opposition to such scenario. Throughout December 2018, PP and Cs started negotiations for

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