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30-474: Through the new group, the organization planned to play a more influential role in the 2012 Iowa caucus campaigns than in 2008 , including offering an endorsement for the first time. In mid-2011, The Family Leader gained national recognition for its pledge, " The Marriage Vow : A Declaration of Dependence upon MARRIAGE and FAMILY", which it asked 2012 presidential hopefuls to sign. Vander Plaats himself also gained recognition, being referred to in one news post as

60-472: A "kingmaker". The Hill claimed Vander Plaats' endorsement as one of the top 10 coveted endorsements for Republicans running for president. Though the pledge was signed very quickly by candidate Michele Bachmann , others were not so quick to sign or support it. Former Iowa State Senator Jeff Angelo, a Republican, said: "This pledge is an attempt to shut down dialogue between voters and the people vying to represent them." Presidential hopeful Mitt Romney called

90-522: A close race. Biden became the first Democrat to be elected president without winning Iowa since Jimmy Carter in 1976 . Furthermore, during the 2022 midterms , all three statewide incumbent Republicans (Governor Kim Reynolds , Secretary of Agriculture Mike Naig , and Secretary of State Paul Pate ) won reelection by more than 18%, two of three statewide incumbent Democrats (28-year incumbent Attorney General Tom Miller and 40-year incumbent Treasurer Michael Fitzgerald ) lost to Republican challengers, and

120-634: A close third, receiving 26,036 votes (21.43%). Trailing were former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich (16,163 votes, 13.30%), Texas governor Rick Perry (12,557 votes, 10.33%), and Representative Michele Bachmann (6,046 votes, 4.98%). Former Utah governor and ambassador to China Jon Huntsman, Jr. , who skipped campaigning in Iowa to focus on the New Hampshire primary , received 739 votes (0.61%). In total, 121,501 votes were recorded, setting

150-418: A far closer race than initially expected. Selzer retired from polling following the election, a decision she claimed she had made the year before. Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden was running for reelection to a second term , and became the party's presumptive nominee, but withdrew from the race on July 21. He then endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris , who launched her presidential campaign

180-422: A record for Iowa Republican caucus turnout ; this record was broken in the 2016 election by more than 60,000 votes. However, this total was still far less than the all-time Iowa caucus record in the 2008 Democratic Iowa caucuses , in which 239,000 Democrats voted. The 121,501 votes represent 19.8 percent of active registered Republicans in the state and just 5.4 percent of all Iowans eligible to vote. However,

210-466: A result, Ron Paul was ultimately able to win 22 of the 28 delegates to the national convention and Mitt Romney won the other six. The 2011–2012 pre-caucus poll results for Iowa had highly volatile results; Gallup polls showed the leading candidate in Iowa change seven times from May 2011 until the caucuses. The 2012 caucuses also set a new record for political expenditures, with $ 12 million being spent, two-thirds of it from " super PACs " which dominated

240-561: Is a path forward," but subsequently stated that he would continue on to New Hampshire and South Carolina. There were eight candidates on the Iowa ballot in the general election : the two major-party candidates (Barack Obama and Mitt Romney) and six minor candidates. Analysts considered Iowa to be a toss-up state —one which either major candidate could plausibly win. A majority of statewide opinion polls had shown Obama tied with or leading Romney. As of October 22, 2012 , polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight estimated that there

270-596: The 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Iowa voters chose six electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden , against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan . Obama won Iowa with 51.99% of

300-545: The Iowa Democratic Party held statewide caucuses to select delegates to the county conventions. Incumbent Barack Obama ran unopposed. However, caucus goers also had the option of voting "uncommitted" rather than supporting Obama, and some Occupy movement and anti-war activists urged Democrats to vote "uncommitted" in protest of the Obama administration . Of the 8,152 county convention delegates that were elected by

330-584: The campaigns by running highly negative attack ads . In the August 13 Ames Straw Poll , a traditional straw poll held in Iowa Republican caucuses, Bachmann narrowly defeated Paul, with Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty trailing in third. Following his disappointing showing, Pawlenty dropped out of the race. Three candidates' debates were held in Iowa over the course the campaign: one on August 11 in Ames ahead of

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360-480: The caucuses, 8,065 (99%) were for Obama and 87 (1%) were uncommitted. In the floor vote taken at the Democratic National Convention , 62 Iowa state delegates voted for Obama. The other 3 of the state's 65 allocated votes were not announced. The 2012 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses took place on January 3, 2012. Using the media's generally accepted definition of the Iowa Republican caucus as

390-467: The first-in-the-nation nomination contest of the 2024 Republican primaries . Former president Donald Trump won the primary with the largest margin of victory for a non-incumbent in the Iowa caucuses. Trump's overwhelming victory in the state established his position early as the frontrunner. The Iowa Libertarian caucuses were held on January 15, 2024, its first as a recognized party in the state. 2022 U.S. Senate candidate Chase Oliver from Georgia won

420-603: The national popular vote until 2024 . As of the 2024 presidential election , this is the last time that a Democratic presidential nominee has carried Iowa, any of its congressional districts, or the following counties: Allamakee , Boone , Bremer , Buchanan , Cedar , Cerro Gordo , Chickasaw , Clarke , Clayton , Clinton , Des Moines , Dubuque , Fayette , Floyd , Howard , Jackson , Jasper , Jefferson , Jones , Lee , Louisa , Marshall , Mitchell , Muscatine , Poweshiek , Tama , Union , Wapello , Webster , Winneshiek , Woodbury , and Worth . On January 3, 2012,

450-517: The non-binding secret polling at caucus sites and using the incomplete data available, the 2012 Iowa Republican caucus was the closest race in Iowa caucus history with only a thirty-four vote margin (about 3 ⁄ 100th of a percent) separating former Senator Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania , who received 29,839 votes (24.56%), and former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney , who received 29,805 votes (24.53%). Representative Ron Paul of Texas ran

480-565: The organization could not decide on one candidate among Newt Gingrich , Michele Bachmann , Rick Santorum , and Rick Perry . The organization announced on December 20, 2011 that it would officially stay neutral and instead allow board members to make their own endorsements; Vander Plaats and Hurley endorsed Santorum. Iowa Republican caucuses, 2012 Obama Romney Tie Barack Obama Democratic Barack Obama Democratic The 2012 United States presidential election in Iowa took place on November 6, 2012, as part of

510-450: The pledge "undignified and inappropriate". Romney's campaign later clarified that he would not sign because language in the pledge made the assertion that African American children born into slavery in 1860 were better off than children raised today. He was not the only one to take issue with this language. The "slavery portion" of the pledge was soon removed. After the controversies with the pledge, House Speaker Pro-Tem Jeff Kaufmann , said

540-410: The pledge has "ridiculous implications", questioned Vander Plaats' integrity, and said that his "political credibility is waning to the point of no impact." In November and December 2011, the organization "agonized" over whether to make an endorsement and whom to endorse. After removing Herman Cain , Jon Huntsman , Ron Paul , and Mitt Romney from consideration, the seven-member board of directors of

570-471: The popular vote percentages in 57 counties and won pluralities in terms of the popular vote percentages in 4 counties. Obama won 3 of the 4 congressional districts, including one held by a Republican. 2024 United States presidential election in Iowa Trump Harris Joe Biden Democratic Donald Trump Republican The 2024 United States presidential election in Iowa

600-616: The real caucus process was the election of Republican delegates to the county conventions, who would eventually determine the delegates at the state convention in June 2012. This would, in turn, determine the Iowa delegates who would attend the Republican National Convention in August, 2012. This process rewarded campaign organizations that could not only get supporters to the caucus sites, but get supporters who would be willing to serve as delegates to county conventions and beyond. As

630-404: The remaining incumbent Democrat (4-year incumbent Auditor Rob Sand ) won by less than 3,000 votes and 0.23%. Republicans also won all four of Iowa's U.S. House seats . As such, for most of the race Iowa was expected to be a safe red state in 2024. A poll performed by Selzer and Co. and published by The Des Moines Register on November 2 claimed Harris to be up by 3%, leading some to predict

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660-571: The same day. Attorney Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has gathered enough signatures to appear on the ballot, as he announced in April. Donald Trump won the state by a margin of 13%, the widest margin for a candidate since 1972 . Trump became the first Republican to win Scott County since Ronald Reagan in 1984 . During the Iowa Democratic caucuses, in-person caucusing focusing only on party business

690-465: The second to last poll, but other than that, Obama won every poll in the last week. The final poll showed Obama leading 50% to 48%, while an average of the last 3 polls showed Obama leading 48% to 46%. Barack Obama won 38 counties and Mitt Romney won 61 counties. Barack Obama won majorities in terms of the popular vote percentages in 35 counties and won pluralities in terms of the popular vote percentages in 3 counties. Mitt Romney won majorites in terms of

720-447: The state neither gained nor lost a seat. An Upper Midwestern state previously considered a battleground and a bellwether state for decades, Iowa voted significantly more Republican than the nation-at-large in both 2016 and 2020 and is now considered a moderately red state at the federal and state levels. Republican Donald Trump won the state by a comfortable margin of 8.2% while losing nationally in 2020, despite polls indicating

750-561: The straw poll; one on December 10, 2011, in Des Moines , and one on December 15 in Sioux City . Several other joint candidates' appearances took place during the caucus campaign outside Iowa. The day after her unsatisfactory sixth-place performance in Iowa, Bachmann announced she was dropping out of the presidential race. Following his low fifth-place finish, Perry initially announced he was "reassessing" his campaign "to determine whether there

780-463: The vote to Romney's 46.18%, a Democratic victory margin of 5.81% - a markedly closer result than in 2008 , when the Democrats won Iowa with a margin of 9.54%. Romney picked up wins in 16 counties that Obama had won in 2008, most of which were in the western half of the state, while only one county, ( Woodbury ), flipped in the opposite direction. This is also the last time the state voted for the winner of

810-485: The vote totals of eight precincts were never counted, so the vote totals are not really known. The secret polling results at Republican caucus sites were unrelated to the delegate selection process in 2012, although that has been changed for the 2016 election cycle. If the Iowa 2012 Republican caucuses were regarded as the start of the Republican delegate selection process for the 2012 United States presidential election ,

840-440: Was a 66% likelihood that Obama would win Iowa's electoral votes. Up until September 2012, polling showed a close race with Obama narrowly leading. In late September 2012, Obama gained momentum and this continued through the first three weeks of October 2012, where he won almost every poll in that time period. In October, when Romney gained momentum in other states, Obama won the majority of the polls conducted. Romney ended up winning

870-634: Was held on January 15, but voting on candidates will be done exclusively via mail-in ballots from January 12 until Super Tuesday , March 5, 2024. This was the result of a compromise between the Iowa Democratic Party and the Democratic National Committee (DNC). Iowa traditionally holds its race first during the presidential primary and caucuses season, but the DNC originally wanted South Carolina to instead hold its race first on February 3. The Iowa Republican caucuses were held on January 15, 2024,

900-463: Was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Iowa voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Iowa has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which

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